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2024-12-13 04:43:24

The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue a gale blue warning at 18: 00 on December 12. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds in parts of Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shaanxi, Shanxi, northern Hebei, Henan, Shandong and other places from 20: 00 on December 12 to 20: 00 on December 13, with gusts of 6~8; Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades. From 20: 00 on December 13 to 20: 00 on December 14, there were 5~6 winds in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northern Hebei, Shandong Peninsula and coastal areas of East China and South China, with gusts of 7~8; Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.


HKEx: It is estimated that the T+1 settlement system will be ready by the end of 2025.Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.World Gold Council: The price of gold is expected to hit its best annual performance in more than 10 years. It is expected that there will be a positive but moderate growth next year. According to the report of the World Gold Council, the price of gold is expected to hit its best annual performance in more than 10 years, with an increase of 28% as of November. Behind this, the purchases of the central bank and investors offset the significant slowdown in consumer demand. Looking ahead, all eyes are focused on the impact of Trump's second term on the global economy. The current forecast of GDP, yield and inflation shows that gold will have a positive but much more moderate growth in 2025. The upward trend may benefit from a sharp drop in interest rates, an increase in volatility, or the continuous higher-than-average demand for gold by the central bank. On the contrary, higher long-term interest rates or weak demand for gold consumption may bring headwinds.


Tongfu Microelectronics traded 2.24 million shares at a discount of 60.0768 million yuan today. Tongfu Microelectronics traded 2.24 million shares at a discount of 60.0768 million yuan today, accounting for 3.32% of the total turnover of the day, and the transaction price was 26.82 yuan, which was 9.97% lower than the market closing price of 29.79 yuan.Laimei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: The controlling shareholder intends to transfer 23.43% of the shares by agreement. Laimei Pharmaceutical announced that Zhongheng Group, the controlling shareholder, intends to transfer 247 million shares of the company's unrestricted tradable A shares by public solicitation of the transferee, accounting for 23.43% of the company's total share capital, and the transfer price is not less than 4.42 yuan/share. If the share transfer is completed, the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company may change.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).

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